Trade the waves~

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Trade the waves~

Elliot-ish.


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    niea
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    Post by niea Thu Oct 08, 2009 11:16 pm

    new wave pattern for today... Razz

    as in 60mins chart below, I think we ady have wave 1,2 & 3 waiting for wave 4

    in my calculation, expect wave 4 will be down between 141.909 - 141.526 (plus minus 10-20pips)
    well if wave down break 140.906 then my wave calculation wrong ady...

    ----GBPJPY---- - Page 3 Gj080910

    nowadays I feel like tukang tilik ady... ha...ha...
    hope to practice a lot more on elliott wave & fibo... Wink
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    Post by Rd Thu Oct 08, 2009 11:30 pm

    tukang tilik? what does that mean..
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    Post by niea Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:35 am

    tukang tilik - person who predict the future... ha..ha... Razz
    hope it didn't go up to my head become big head full of air thinking I'm always right Evil or Very Mad
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    Post by Rd Fri Oct 09, 2009 1:12 am

    haha... as long as your designations are good. then everything is good. so for now, make sure your SL and TP are fixed then Smile since you know you are getting accurate on GJ Smile
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    Post by niea Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:29 am

    niea wrote:new wave pattern for today... Razz

    as in 60mins chart below, I think we ady have wave 1,2 & 3 waiting for wave 4

    in my calculation, expect wave 4 will be down between 141.909 - 141.526 (plus minus 10-20pips)
    well if wave down break 140.906 then my wave calculation wrong ady...

    Continue on yesterday wave pattern, I think we ady see wave 4 form at 141.935... if it didn't break this line then we are moving on to wave 5...

    Based on my calculation, GJ top wave 5 will be around 144.252...
    or at least hit until 143.569
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    Post by Rd Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:00 pm

    Could you do a screenshot for the pattern of wave 5? seems like the price is going upwards? very predictive huh haha
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    Post by Rd Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:21 pm

    Shaz, do you think this might be a possibility?

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    Post by niea Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:23 pm

    I just do my calculation only... Razz
    still practicing the elliot wave
    you should see my sifu tonight...
    I learned frm him to draw on elliot wave with fibo line during his free course

    he seems can predict the movement of price almost accurately...
    if I got extra money, I might enrol in his class but it cost RM4k++
    but they are offering free laptop or pda to u as well

    well the chart I hv in office is not so complete but is's a guide for me...

    the fibo line in chart, showing wave 5 movement (prediction) and in excel sheet contains calculation on fibo line based on wave 3

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    Post by niea Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:36 pm

    Rd wrote:Shaz, do you think this might be a possibility?

    yes, it's possible... but I think hitting 143.569++ is the lowest of wave 5 top.
    If u want to short, better wait for it to hit 144.xx

    I've put entry order to short at 144.488
    but another concern is GJ daily chart looks like going to be uptrend...
    so there might be possibility that after finish this wave 5, come down a bit and then move higher than 144.xx

    or the uptrend indicator is just a false alarm or only valid for short period, I'm not sure

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    Post by Rd Fri Oct 09, 2009 6:33 pm

    GJ heading downwards after the bounce... managed to catch some pips Smile

    errors I've made in this trade:

    fear it might be too late to enter the downtrade, entered too early.
    >>this is because previous few trades missed even though entry order set correctly.

    greed that it might go back upwards, closed too early.
    >>watching live charts, always results in emotional play. and also a fact that I want the amount to reach a certain point so that I am satisfied with the amount and I can finally withdraw money from my account Smile

    Overall, still ok. still earned. but costly mistakes that probably costed me an additional 50++ (if I didn't intervene, and the current price still goes downwards, I probably miss 70-80 over pips) pips.

    as again, remind myself. stick to entry orders, and study extremely carefully on news and charts, once mid-confident, set proper and cautious ENTRY ORDERS, with good R2R ratio min: 1:4+

    utilize trailing loss if possible, pretty useful.



    Below picture, the white lines are my predicted TP. But too emotional over watching live charts. missed out a lot. must must must.... really stick to my rules!!!!!

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    Post by niea Sat Oct 10, 2009 12:36 am

    niea wrote:new wave pattern for today... Razz

    as in 60mins chart below, I think we ady have wave 1,2 & 3 waiting for wave 4

    in my calculation, expect wave 4 will be down between 141.909 - 141.526 (plus minus 10-20pips)
    well if wave down break 140.906 then my wave calculation wrong ady...

    I'm wrong this morning when I thought wave 4 is over when it hit down to 141.935 and move up to 143.xx

    seems like my earlier calculation for wave 4 is still hold true which is between the range of 141.909 - 141.526

    with updated wave 4 figure, below chart showing possible wave 5 top which is between 143.915 - 144.324

    ----GBPJPY---- - Page 3 Gj091010

    on another look based on trendline... it looks like it's going down...

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    Post by Rd Sat Oct 10, 2009 1:04 am

    not too sure where it will head next,

    according to my rules of bouncing off trendlines, it appears that the bounce off the top trendline might not work anymore... it will probably break, like your wave 5 analysis. Smile

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    Post by niea Sun Oct 11, 2009 6:43 pm

    Rd wrote:not too sure where it will head next,

    according to my rules of bouncing off trendlines, it appears that the bounce off the top trendline might not work anymore... it will probably break, like your wave 5 analysis. Smile

    well... this is alternative pattern I've found for on going wave...

    it looks like wave C in the making but I'm not sure how lower will it go...
    but if it break above 142.80 then this counting is wrong ady
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    I would advice to stay away frm Monday trading until you hv clearer signal unless:
    - you are sure with what you are doing
    - you hv smaller target like 10 - 20 pips
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    Post by Rd Mon Oct 12, 2009 6:01 am

    looks like it continues downwards happily..
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    Post by Rd Tue Oct 13, 2009 12:18 pm

    New outlook on GJ.

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    Post by niea Tue Oct 13, 2009 1:57 pm

    I cannot detect any pattern on GJ 60 min chart...
    It's trading sideway since last night 10pm....

    All previous wave paterns either has completed or proved not accuarate by breaking the price mark I've mentioned....
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    Post by Rd Tue Oct 13, 2009 1:59 pm

    FA comes to play... overtaking TA. Problem is, don't see any news from pound, yet sometimes it does irradical movements. Puzzles me. Londoners play rough...

    Best not to trade GJ for now, each currency is in wierd situations.
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    Post by niea Tue Oct 13, 2009 2:16 pm

    Yes... it's too quiet...
    liked silence before the storm coming.. ha...ha... Razz
    GJ is trading in tight range around 50 - 60 pips...
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    Post by niea Tue Oct 13, 2009 5:51 pm

    I think just now got sudden spike at 4.30pm...
    frm 141.60xx++ drop to 141.302
    I hv entry order to long at 141.369 but didn't get hit...

    got another chance to grab the price at 141.369 when it dip down again but I didn't take it
    because I saw my chart showing going down...
    so I moved my entry to lower price at 141.079...

    but if after this it went up to above 142.xx .... Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad
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    Post by Rd Tue Oct 13, 2009 5:56 pm

    Haha........ nevermind.... the spike was a result of bad news from GBP @ 4.30pm..

    Not too sure abt GJ, but other currencies pairing against USD now, very tension. I watch the movements.. can feel everyone is watching and waiting...
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    Post by Rd Tue Oct 13, 2009 5:59 pm

    Hmm shaz, maybe wait first. GU shows signs of constant drop. Pound heads way down?
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    Post by niea Tue Oct 13, 2009 6:36 pm

    My 60mins chart still showing down...
    hmm...

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    Post by Rd Wed Oct 14, 2009 4:43 pm

    GJ double top-

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    Post by niea Thu Oct 15, 2009 12:30 am

    this is quick one...

    Orange line show there might be reversal for wave 5 around 143.926 - 144.xx
    wave 4 maybe lowest at 142.115
    as precaution, if line break below 141.726 then this wave count is wrong ady

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    Post by Rd Thu Oct 15, 2009 11:39 am

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