Trade the waves~

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Trade the waves~

Elliot-ish.


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    25 Jan - 29 Jan News

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    niea
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    Post by niea Tue Jan 26, 2010 12:08 pm

    Waiting for GBP GDP this afternoon...
    http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2010-01-25-2222-British_Pound_May_Decline_Despite.html

    GJ has been up since it touched 144.xx last Friday until this morning 147.32, but will it cont. going up or back down again after touching 147.xx?(double top maybe...?I'm not sure)

    Nice movement just now coming down frm 147.32 -> 145.8x

    For this week news (all in local time):
    26/1 Tue
    GBP GDP 4Q at 5.30pm
    USD Consumer Confidence at 11.00pm

    27/1 Wed
    EUR German CPI at 7.50-8.00am
    AUD CPI at 8.30am
    USD New Home Sales (Dec) at 11.00pm

    28/1 Thur
    USD FOMC Interest rate decision at 3.15am
    NZD Interest rate decision at 4.00am
    EUR German Unemplyment Change (Jan) at 4.55pm
    USD Durable Goods Orders (Dec) at 9.30pm

    29/1 Fri
    JPY CPI at 7.30am
    JPY Jobless Rate (Dec) at 7.30am
    USD GDP 4Q at 9.30pm
    USD U.of Michigan Confidence report at 10.55pm
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    niea
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    Post by niea Tue Jan 26, 2010 11:23 pm

    This afternoon we see GBP GDP figure lower that expected causing GJ drop frm 146.2x -> 144.2x in single 1Hr candle...

    Expected : 0.4%
    Actual : 0.1%
    Previous : -0.2%

    Although figure better than previous one but still it didn't help
    http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2010-01-26-1231-U_K__Emerges_From_Recession__GDP.html

    USD Consumer Confidence figure better than expected
    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=antNrdYq5CZE&pos=2


    Last edited by niea on Wed Jan 27, 2010 10:51 am; edited 1 time in total
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    Rd
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    Post by Rd Wed Jan 27, 2010 8:57 am

    Seems like EU shown a drop of about 50 points yesterday morning (wasnt watching forex yesterday), directly banking on a falling trend line.

    I suspect EU is just waiting for 200 EMA to bottom-crossover 200 SMA for the trend to really begin. Also watch out for retracement back to 50EMA and bounce, that's a very visual confirmation that downtrend is definite.

    We can confirm it further by looking at the weekly charts, for the same lines 200 SMA, 200 EMA, and 50 EMA.. 50 EMA is still above the 200 MA lines, so maybe this will be starting a shift downtrend? According to experts? haha... Visually confirm it with weekly. then a long term downtrend will begin.
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    niea
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    Post by niea Wed Jan 27, 2010 10:55 am

    EU hmm.... didn't really watch EU, but I noticed EJ holding on 125.xx last night
    I read somewhere ppl targeting EU until 1.38 area

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